Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $46B?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on google's purchases of property and equipment for the quarter referenced — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Google's purchases of property and equipment for the quarter referenced.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.