The market moved

+1.1ppin 24h · now

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?

AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $700.40

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.