The market moved
-21.4ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on or prior to June 24, 2026?
AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $148.16
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.