The market moved

+86.7ppin 24h · now 95¢

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Other · resolves Nov 2 · vol $480.5K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 86.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.