The market moved
-1.3ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?
Other · resolves Jul 7 · vol $339.45
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.