Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $30m at auction?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 88¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the final listed “lot sold” price on sothebys (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www — https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/natural-history/tyrannosaurus-rex).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 27.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.