The market moved
-10.0ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $853.30
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.