The market moved
-22.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Entertainment · resolves Feb 22 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.bafta.org/awards/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.