The market moved
-4.7ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Harris lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Nov 4?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on realclearpolling.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: realclearpolling.com — https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.