The market moved
-14.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Harris reach 60% before Trump flips her on Silver Bulletin?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the silver bulletin election forecast for any date between october 10 and november 4, 2024 (inclusive) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the Silver Bulletin election forecast for any date between October 10 and November 4, 2024 (inclusive) — https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.