The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Politics · resolves May 9 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.aec.gov.au/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.