Will Helene make landfall at category 4 or stronger?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 51.4pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc for whether helene has made landfall in the contiguous united states at a streng — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Helene has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a streng — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/HELENE.shtml).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.