The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 67¢

Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?

Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $424.39

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm in hong kong between july 1 and july 31, 2026, according to the hong kong observatory — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.