The market moved

+2.0ppin 24h · now

Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in June?

Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $33.33

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm in hong kong between june 1 and june 30, 2026, according to the hong kong observatory — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.