The market moved
+1.0ppin 24h · now 22¢
Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?
Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $4.69
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 22¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm in hong kong between june 1 and june 30, 2026, according to the hong kong observatory — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.