The market moved
-19.1ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Entertainment · resolves May 23 · vol $637.31
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.