The market moved
+41.0ppin 24h · now 96¢
Will House of the Dragon Season 3 premiere by June 21?
Other · resolves Jun 22 · vol $180.39
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.hbo.com).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.