The market moved

+6.2ppin 24h · now 19¢

Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Sports · resolves Oct 11 · vol $469.43

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 19¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.