Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc that imelda has made landfall within the conterminous united states as a hurrica — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC that Imelda has made landfall within the conterminous United States as a hurrica — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.