Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc for whether idalia has made landfall in florida at category 3 or greater strengt — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Idalia has made landfall in Florida at category 3 or greater strengt — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.