The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 80¢
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
Macro · resolves Jan 12 · vol $1.72
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 80¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in india’s consumer price index (cpi) over the 12-month period ending december 2026 (year-on-ye — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Ye — https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.