The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $9.46
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.