The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 60¢

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $2.9K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 60¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Orrery