The market moved
-24.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Intel say "Government" during earnings call?
Business · resolves Jul 23 · vol $518.80
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of intel currently scheduled to take place on july 23, 2026 at 5 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of Intel currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 5 PM ET — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.