The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 68¢

Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 18 · vol $19.12

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 68¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @lemonadestandpo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @LemonadeStandPo — https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.