The market moved
-2.1ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in May?
Other · resolves Jun 1 · vol $135.89
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly ism manufacturing pmi report on business — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business — https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.