The market moved

-10.3ppin 24h · now

Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?

Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $155.95

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.3pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly ism services pmi report on business — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business — https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.