The market moved
+54.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?
Other · open · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 54.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the monthly ism services pmi report on business — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business — https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.