Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-ceasefire-in-place-us-renews-plea-for-israel-to-allow-foreign-press-into-gaza/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.