The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 66¢
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Geopolitics · resolves May 17 · vol $2.1K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 66¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
