The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?

Geopolitics · resolves Mar 8 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/15/what-do-we-know-about-the-israel-gaza-ceasefire-deal).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.