The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
Other · resolves Sep 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on fia.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: fia.com — https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.