The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 50¢

Will it rain in Denver on July 4?

Other · resolves Jul 6 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in the denver area on july 4, 2026 according to the national oceanic and atmospheri — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in the Denver Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheri — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=bou.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.