Will it rain in Washington D.C. on July 4?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 46¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in the washington area on july 4, 2026 according to the national oceanic and atmosp — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in the Washington Area on July 4, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmosp — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.