The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $40.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of state — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of State — https://dos.fl.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.