The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Japan (18) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Sports · resolves Jun 29 · vol $248.45
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.