The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
Macro · resolves Aug 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 26¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.