Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.7pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.