The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Macro · resolves Feb 12 · vol $57.34
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report — https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.