The market moved

+2.0ppin 24h · now 40¢

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

Macro · resolves Feb 12 · vol $144.66

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 40¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report — https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.