The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?
Macro · resolves Jan 22 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report — https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.