The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.2%?

Macro · resolves Mar 3 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official Statistics — https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/dbview?sid=0003005865.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.