The market moved
-8.9ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 10–15%?
Politics · resolves Aug 18 · vol $47.16
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on department of state — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of State — https://dos.fl.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.