The market moved
-13.8ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
Other · resolves Aug 9 · vol $4.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.8pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.