Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the 2026 wisconsin secretary of state elect — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Elect — https://rnc.org/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.