Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/9/jay-z-accused-in-lawsuit-of-raping-13-year-old-girl-with-diddy-in-2000).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.