Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the fundraiser?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.9pp shift. Resolution depends on nationalreview.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: nationalreview.com — https://www.nationalreview.com/news/vance-to-continue-aggressive-rnc-fundraising-schedule-into-midterms/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.