The market moved
-61.8ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 15+ times at AmericaFest events on December 21?
Other · resolves Dec 21 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 61.8pp shift. Resolution depends on tpusa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tpusa.com — https://tpusa.com/agenda/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.