The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will JD Vance say "Cincinnati" during his remarks in Ohio?

Sports · resolves Aug 21 · vol $64.87

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nbcnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nbcnews.com — https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/jd-vance/vance-hometown-speech-ohio-midterm-travel-rcna593142).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.