The market moved
+18.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will JD Vance say "Fight" in Des Moines?
Other · resolves May 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.9pp shift. Resolution depends on kwqc.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: kwqc.com — https://www.kwqc.com/2026/05/02/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-iowa-manufacturing-facility-tuesday/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.