The market moved

-4.4ppin 24h · now

Will JD Vance say "Venezuela" during meetings with Orbán?

Politics · resolves Apr 8 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.4pp shift. Resolution depends on forth.news — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: forth.news — https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.